Murray State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,423  Meagan Smith FR 21:59
1,460  Caroline Grogan FR 22:02
1,850  Ali Hester SO 22:25
1,881  Emma Gilmore SO 22:27
2,231  Kati Heil FR 22:49
2,291  Leah Krause JR 22:53
2,411  Abbie Oliver SR 23:01
2,549  Emily Flaherty FR 23:12
3,090  Elizabeth Lay FR 24:07
3,265  Jacquelyn Thate JR 24:34
3,270  Felizitas Mueller SO 24:35
3,324  Heatherly Paschall JR 24:45
National Rank #236 of 341
Southeast Region Rank #30 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Meagan Smith Caroline Grogan Ali Hester Emma Gilmore Kati Heil Leah Krause Abbie Oliver Emily Flaherty Elizabeth Lay Jacquelyn Thate Felizitas Mueller
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/03 1254 21:59 22:14 21:46 22:43 22:31 22:26 23:11 24:56
Bradley Pink Classic 10/17 1268 21:54 22:04 22:42 22:02 22:59 22:46 23:00 22:53 24:07 24:34 24:16
UE Invitational 10/18 1752
Ohio Valley Conference Championship 11/01 1270 21:50 22:00 22:40 22:30 22:50 23:28 23:36
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 1275 22:15 21:51 22:21 22:51 22:44 22:57 23:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 29.0 868 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.6 5.8 8.9 12.2 16.0 22.0 14.9



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meagan Smith 143.5
Caroline Grogan 147.6
Ali Hester 182.1
Emma Gilmore 184.9
Kati Heil 215.6
Leah Krause 220.8
Abbie Oliver 229.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 0.0% 0.0 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.6% 0.6 22
23 1.5% 1.5 23
24 2.3% 2.3 24
25 3.6% 3.6 25
26 5.8% 5.8 26
27 8.9% 8.9 27
28 12.2% 12.2 28
29 16.0% 16.0 29
30 22.0% 22.0 30
31 14.9% 14.9 31
32 7.9% 7.9 32
33 2.8% 2.8 33
34 1.0% 1.0 34
35 0.1% 0.1 35
36 0.0% 0.0 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0